Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City | 
| 56.82% (  0.02) | 23.22% (  -0.01) | 19.95% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 50.95% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.29% (  0.03) | 48.71% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.18% (  0.03) | 70.82% (  -0.03) | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.08% (  0.02) | 16.92% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.01% (  0.04) | 46.98% (  -0.04) | 
| Edinburgh City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.33% (  0) | 38.67% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.59% (  0) | 75.41% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City | 
| 1-0 @ 11.62% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.81% (  0) 3-0 @ 6.12% (  0) 3-1 @ 5.81% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.76% (  0) 4-0 @ 2.72% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.58% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.23% (  0) 5-0 @ 0.97% (  0) 5-1 @ 0.92% (  0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 11.04% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% (  0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.22% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% (  -0) 0-2 @ 2.95% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 0.94% (  -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 19.95% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 | 
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 | 
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 | 
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 | 
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