| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Clyde | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | Montrose | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 45.82% ( | 26.95% ( | 27.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( | 56.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( | 77.65% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( | 24.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.77% ( | 59.24% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( | 36.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.86% ( | 73.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 62 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 43 |
| 6 | Montrose | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
| 9 | Clyde | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 63 | -50 | 12 |
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