

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 36.43% ( | 26.12% ( | 37.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( | 50.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( | 72.58% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( | 26.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.75% ( | 62.25% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( | 26.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.53% ( | 61.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | FalkirkFalkirk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Montrose | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
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