Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 29.19% ( | 26.06% ( | 44.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( | 52.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( | 74% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( | 32.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.99% ( | 69% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( | 23.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.77% ( | 57.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 82 | 27 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | Nice | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 51 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Brest | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Reims | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 30 |
| 15 | Angers | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 30 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
