MX23RW : Tuesday, May 30 15:53:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Lens logo
Toulouse
0 - 1
Lens

Kamanzi (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Openda (33')
Frankowski (60'), Samba (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Monaco
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Lens

 Both teams are in excellent form, which should create a fascinating match on Tuesday evening. Lens are in desperate need of all three points to continue their push for a top-two position, but Toulouse will also be full of confidence, so we have had to settle on a draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLens
26% (0.184 0.18) 22.56% (0.302 0.3) 51.44% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.899 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (-1.265 -1.27)39.08% (1.269 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (-1.341 -1.34)61.41% (1.345 1.35)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)27.96% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.687 -0.69)63.59% (0.69 0.69)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.613 -0.61)15.36% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-1.164 -1.16)44.13% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 26%
    Lens 51.44%
    Draw 22.56%
ToulouseDrawLens
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.242 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 26%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.252 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.44%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse
27.2%
Draw
19.4%
Lens
53.4%
103
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 13
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
Haidara (67')
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Lens
1-0
Toulouse
Chavarria (76')
Nomenjanahary (66'), Landre (90')

Grigore (67')
> Match Report
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
Toulouse
0-2
Lens

Grigore (90')
El Jadeyaoui (11'), Bourigeaud (27')
El Jadeyaoui (58'), Sylla (88')
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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