Coupe de France | Final
Apr 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 5Toulouse
The Match
Match Report
Toulouse win the Coupe de France for the first time in their history with a 5-1 thrashing of defending champions Nantes at the Stade de France.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
36.6% ( -0.02) | 24.3% ( -0.02) | 39.1% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
