Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.