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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Toulouse
Lorient
0 - 1
Toulouse

Abergel (70'), Meite (78'), Kalulu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aboukhlal (68')
Sierro (51'), Spierings (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-1 Toulouse

 In a mid-table encounter, there may not be much between the two sides, with the added sub-plot of Toulouse's cup final to come next week possibly on their minds. Only one of the last 16 meetings between these sides have seen more than two goals, and this encounter looks set to follow a similar pattern. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
32.07% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72) 25.3% (-0.146 -0.15) 42.63% (0.862 0.86)
Both teams to score 55.66% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (0.415 0.41)47.92% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (0.381 0.38)70.09% (-0.384 -0.38)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.256 -0.26)28.26% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.324 -0.32)63.97% (0.322 0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.595 0.59)22.41% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.883 0.88)55.93% (-0.886 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 32.07%
    Toulouse 42.63%
    Draw 25.3%
LorientDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.63%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
61.9%
Draw
28.6%
Toulouse
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Marveaux (60')
Le Goff (26'), Majeed Waris (47')
Delort (24')
Toivonen (71'), Diop (75')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Toivonen (8', 20', 60')
Braithwaite (83'), Durmaz (92')
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Toure (91')
Abdullah (78')
Ben Yedder (49')
Trejo (74'), Moubandje (77')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
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