Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 63.59% ( | 20.39% ( | 16.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( | 42.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( | 65.18% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( | 12.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.91% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( | 39.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.59% ( | 76.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 7.37% ( 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 5-1 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 1-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 33 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 20 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 78 | -62 | 15 |
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