

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 49.63% ( | 24.63% ( | 25.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( | 48.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( | 70.74% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( | 19.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.43% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( | 33.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.16% ( | 69.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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