Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic | 
| 37.05% (  -0.7) | 26.76% (  0.07) | 36.18% (  0.62) | 
| Both teams to score 51.68% (  -0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.59% (  -0.27) | 53.41% (  0.27) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.06% (  -0.23) | 74.94% (  0.23) | 
| Falkirk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.14% (  -0.53) | 27.85% (  0.53) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.54% (  -0.69) | 63.45% (  0.69) | 
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.63% (  0.24) | 28.37% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.89% (  0.31) | 64.11% (  -0.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic | 
| 1-0 @ 10.1% (  -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.13% (  -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.46% (  -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.47% (  -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.75% (  -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.18% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.11% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.72% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% (  0.09) 2-2 @ 5.12% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.96% (  0.17) 1-2 @ 8.02% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 6.27% (  0.15) 1-3 @ 3.37% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 2.63% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 2.15% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.06% (  0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.18% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 | 
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 | 
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 | 
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 | 
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