

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 46.92% ( | 24.95% ( | 28.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( | 48.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( | 70.41% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( | 20.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.84% ( | 53.16% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( | 31.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.5% ( | 67.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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