

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 69.3% ( | 17.66% ( | 13.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( | 36.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( | 9.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.09% ( | 31.91% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% ( | 39.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.44% ( | 76.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 5-0 @ 2.28% ( 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.3% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 1-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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