Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
25.78% (![]() | 22.83% (![]() | 51.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.42% (![]() | 40.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.04% (![]() | 62.95% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% (![]() | 28.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% (![]() | 64.79% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.08% (![]() | 15.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.84% (![]() | 45.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.51% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.78% | 1-1 @ 10.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 9.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 37 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 15 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |