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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
25.08% (![]() | 19.78% (![]() | 55.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 70.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.7% (![]() | 26.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.39% (![]() | 46.61% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% (![]() | 54.84% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.06% (![]() | 9.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.1% (![]() | 32.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 5.82% (![]() 3-2 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.71% 3-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 8.78% (![]() 1-3 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 4% Total : 55.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |