Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
4 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Machino (15', 90+1'), Bernhardsson (23'), Gigovic (76')
Machino (83'), Ivezic (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cvancara (60'), Plea (69'), Honorat (86')
Cvancara (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 3-2 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
25.08% ( 0.04)	19.78% ( 0.05)	55.14% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 70.53% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.7% (

-0.21)

26.31% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.39% (

-0.27)

46.61% (

0.27)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.09)

21.69% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

-0.14)

54.84% (

0.14)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

-0.09)

9.95% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.1% (

-0.21)

32.9% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 25.08%

Borussia Monchengladbach 55.14%

Draw 19.78%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.08%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.71% 3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.78%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 4% Total : 55.14%