MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:39:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
St Pauli

Bernhardsson (21')
Ivezic (60'), Harres (77'), Schulz (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sinani (34'), Geschwill (90+2' og.)
Nemeth (37'), Afolayan (46'), Wahl (82'), Guilavogui (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, April 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-1 St Pauli

Although Blessin's St Pauli side have rarely conceded this season, their lack of attacking output means success is not guaranteed. Consequently, both teams could share the spoils on Sunday, ending Kiel's losing streak in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
29.92% (0.276 0.28) 23.03% (0.038 0.04) 47.05% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 62.51% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.46% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)60.75% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.164 0.16)24.96% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.226 0.23)59.61% (-0.221 -0.22)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.121 -0.12)16.7% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)46.58% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 29.92%
    St Pauli 47.05%
    Draw 23.03%
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.92%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 47.05%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli

Holstein Kiel
28.1%
Draw
37.5%
St Pauli
34.4%
32
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
St Pauli
3-1
Holstein Kiel
Saliakas (25'), Guilavogui (56'), Eggestein (85')
Smith (38'), Afolayan (86')
Harres (90+1')
Rapp (0'), Holtby (23'), Machino (23'), Ivezic (27'), Becker (38'), Erras (90+2')
Feb 23, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Machino (53'), Mees (65'), Bernhardsson (82')
Schulz (45')
Afolayan (11', 36'), Hartel (34'), Metcalfe (57')
Saliakas (90+4'), Hurzeler (90+5')
Sep 17, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
St Pauli
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Metcalfe (4'), Smith (7'), Afolayan (38'), Ritzka (69'), Hartel (90+3')
Hurzeler (0'), Smith (27'), Burchert (45+2'), Saad (49')
Holtby (50')
Porath (16'), Holtby (47'), Rothe (73')
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Skrzybski (28' pen.), Komenda (78'), Reese (90+3')
Becker (45+2'), Rapp (46'), Bartels (65'), Pichler (90+5'), Wahl (90+9')
Afolayan (39'), Wahl (53' og.), Daschner (61'), Paqarada (74')
Hurzeler (0'), Afolayan (77')
Afolayan (87')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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