MX23RW : Saturday, April 12 23:03:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
5 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Metcalfe (4'), Smith (7'), Afolayan (38'), Ritzka (69'), Hartel (90+3')
Hurzeler (0'), Smith (27'), Burchert (45+2'), Saad (49')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Holtby (50')
Porath (16'), Holtby (47'), Rothe (73')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braunschweig 1-1 St Pauli
Friday, September 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 SC Paderborn
Saturday, September 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
41.21% (-0.815 -0.81) 25.2% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 33.59% (0.737 0.74)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.144 -0.14)47.04% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.133 -0.13)69.28% (0.13 0.13)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)22.71% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (-0.68 -0.68)56.38% (0.678 0.68)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.386 0.39)26.87% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (0.505 0.5)62.19% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 41.21%
    Holstein Kiel 33.59%
    Draw 25.19%
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Skrzybski (28' pen.), Komenda (78'), Reese (90+3')
Becker (45+2'), Rapp (46'), Bartels (65'), Pichler (90+5'), Wahl (90+9')
Afolayan (39'), Wahl (53' og.), Daschner (61'), Paqarada (74')
Hurzeler (0'), Afolayan (77')
Afolayan (87')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
3-0
St Pauli
Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')
Jul 25, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
St Pauli
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Paqarada (11'), Kyereh (62'), Burgstaller (90+1')

Muhling (39')
May 7, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Holstein Kiel
4-0
St Pauli
Arslan (22'), Bartels (24', 49'), Serra (67')
Arslan (13'), Lorenz (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hamburger SV291410563362752
2FC Koln2915684334951
3Elversberg29138854332147
4Magdeburg291210755421346
5KaiserslauternKaiserslautern2913795045546
6SC PaderbornSC Paderborn28129747371045
7Nuremberg29135114945444
8Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf2812884541444
9Hannover29111083530543
10Karlsruher SCKarlsruher28117104649-340
11Schalke 04Schalke28107114850-237
12Hertha Berlin29106134345-236
13SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2998124846235
14Greuther Furth2998124153-1235
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig2979133254-2230
16Preussen Munster2869132836-827
17SSV UlmUlm29511132935-626
18Jahn RegensburgJahn2854191661-4519


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