Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.