Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Getafe |
| 55.52% ( | 26.4% ( | 18.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.75% ( | 62.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.08% ( | 81.92% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( | 22.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.63% ( | 56.37% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.25% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.22% ( | 83.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 16.41% ( 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.51% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-2 @ 3.14% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
| 13 | Getafe | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 39 |
| 18 | Leganes | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 87 | -61 | 16 |
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