

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 43.73% ( | 27.26% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( | 56.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( | 77.86% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( | 25.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.17% ( | 60.83% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.18% ( | 71.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
