Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
46.82% (![]() | 26.6% (![]() | 26.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.24% (![]() | 55.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.1% (![]() | 76.9% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% (![]() | 23.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% (![]() | 57.98% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% (![]() | 36.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% (![]() | 73.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 12.42% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.81% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.76% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |