

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela | 
| 46.82% (  0.07) | 26.6% (  -0.04) | 26.59% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 48.48% (  0.08) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.24% (  0.11) | 55.76% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.1% (  0.09) | 76.9% (  -0.09) | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.19% (  0.08) | 23.81% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.02% (  0.11) | 57.98% (  -0.11) | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.63% (  0.04) | 36.37% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.84% (  0.04) | 73.16% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela | 
| 1-0 @ 12.42% (  -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.31% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% (  0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.81% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.66% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.56% (  0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.76% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.43% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.54% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.49% (  -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.59% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
