

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
| 64.13% ( | 20.46% ( | 15.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( | 13.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.29% ( | 39.71% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% ( | 41.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.05% ( | 77.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 1-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Vizela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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