Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
64.13% (![]() | 20.46% (![]() | 15.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.73% (![]() | 44.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% (![]() | 66.65% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.91% (![]() | 13.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% (![]() | 39.71% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% (![]() | 41.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% (![]() | 77.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.21% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.03% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 9.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
5 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Vizela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |