

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 43.51% ( | 26.85% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( | 55.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( | 76.42% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.11% ( | 59.88% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( | 33.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.7% ( | 70.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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