

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 65% (  0.11) | 20.57% (  -0.19) | 14.44% (  0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 48.18% (  0.78) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.34% (  0.95) | 46.66% (  -0.94) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.08% (  0.88) | 68.93% (  -0.88) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.42% (  0.33) | 13.58% (  -0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.31% (  0.66) | 40.69% (  -0.65) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.75% (  0.69) | 44.25% (  -0.69) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.67% (  0.56) | 80.33% (  -0.56) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao | 
| 1-0 @ 11.99% (  -0.33) 2-0 @ 11.97% (  -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.77% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 7.97% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% (  0.1) 4-0 @ 3.98% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 3.24% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% (  0.09) 5-0 @ 1.59% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.32% (  0.06) 5-1 @ 1.3% (  0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.78% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.01% (  -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.98% (  0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% (  -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.99% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 2% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% (  0.05) Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.44% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 | 
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 | 
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
