

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 65% ( | 20.57% ( | 14.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( | 46.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( | 68.93% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( | 13.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.31% ( | 40.69% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( | 44.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.67% ( | 80.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 7.97% ( 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 5-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-2 @ 3.98% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0-2 @ 2% ( 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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