MX23RW : Monday, April 28 00:18:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 0
Crusaders

McGovern (75')
Wallace (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

King (52')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 3-2 Glentoran
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dungannon Swifts in this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCrusaders
41.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 26.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 32.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)50.99% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)72.86% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.15% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.46% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2%65.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 41.82%
    Crusaders 32.15%
    Draw 26.02%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 41.82%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.15%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crusaders
1-5
Dungannon
Owens (90')
Barr (12'), Forsythe (51'), Larmour (76'), Williamson (83')
McGovern (5', 48'), Bermingham (8'), Galvin (90', 90+3')
Alves (51')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crusaders
2-2
Dungannon
Forsythe (56' pen.), Offord (60')
Stewart (25'), Clarke (29'), Jewitt-White (80')
Galvin (15'), Curry (24')
Dillon (63'), Alves (71'), Mitchell (87'), McGinty (90+2')
Sep 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Dungannon
1-0
Crusaders
McGovern (39')
Wallace (64'), Scott (71'), Glenny (89'), Dunne (90')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dungannon
2-2
Crusaders
Mitchell (52'), Moore (89')
Hutchinson (10'), Mitchell (30')
Kennedy (28', 90+2')
Larmour (90+5')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
1-4
Crusaders
Maguire (32')
Owens (42'), Hegarty (58')
Teelan (53'), Robinson (71'), Kennedy (78'), Smith (90+3')
Joe Burns (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield38274769284185
2LarneLarne381712946331363
3GlentoranGlentoran3817101149371261
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon38176155148357
5ColeraineColeraine381510135550555
6CrusadersCrusaders38166164753-654
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville381771458411758
2PortadownPortadown38168144845356
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena38145194754-747
4GlenavonGlenavon381210164247-546
5Carrick RangersCarrick38711203259-2732
6Loughgall3857263685-4922
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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