Manchester United logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Athletic Bilbao logo

Man Utd
4 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Mount (72', 90+1'), Casemiro (79'), Hojlund (85')
Mazraoui (25'), Casemiro (59'), Dorgu (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jauregizar (31')
Jauregizar (39'), Nunez (78'), Berenguer (78'), Sannadi Harrouch (89')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester United brilliantly book their place in the Europa League final with a 4-1 win on the night and a 7-1 aggregate victory against Athletic Bilbao.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa League clash between Manchester United and Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League semi-final second-leg tie between Manchester United and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's Europa League semi-final second-leg clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of the second leg of their Europa League semi-final with Athletic Bilbao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAthletic Bilbao
44.26% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)25.45% (0.431 0.43)30.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-1.504 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (-1.927 -1.93)49.24% (1.928 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (-1.761 -1.76)71.3% (1.763 1.76)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (-0.931 -0.93)22.21% (0.933 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (-1.422 -1.42)55.63% (1.424 1.42)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-1.083 -1.08)30.11% (1.086 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-1.32 -1.32)66.25% (1.322 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 44.26%
    Athletic Bilbao 30.3%
    Draw 25.44%
Manchester UnitedDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.503 0.5)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.512 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.387 0.39)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Athletic Bilbao

Manchester United
73.5%
Draw
8.6%
Athletic Bilbao
17.9%
302
Head to Head
May 1, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Athletic Bilbao
0-3
Man Utd

Berchiche (36'), Alvarez (61')
Vivian (35')
Casemiro (30'), Fernandes (37' pen., 45')
Mount (77'), Garnacho (84'), Simon (84'), Yoro (90+3')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
Man Utd
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pellistri (90+3')
Evans (84')
Williams (29')
Ruiz de Galarreta (39'), Lekue (63'), Vivian (83'), Imanol (84')
Paredes (66')
Build-up
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim on April 30, 2025
Man United vs. Athletic Bilbao: Starting XIs confirmed for Europa League blockbuster at Old Trafford
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim confirms his starting side for Thursday's Europa League semi-final second leg against Athletic Bilbao.
May 8, 17:48
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim on April 10, 2025
Man United vs. Athletic Bilbao: Ruben Amorim delivers verdict on devastating team news for La Liga outfit
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim reacts to the absence of three Athletic Bilbao attackers for Thursday's Europa League semi-final second leg.
May 7, 14:20
Manchester United's Matthijs de Ligt in action on December 7, 2024
Man United injury news: Matthijs de Ligt update provided ahead of Europa League semi-final showdown
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim rules Matthijs de Ligt out of Thursday's Europa League semi-final second leg against Athletic Bilbao.
May 7, 13:29
Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim on December 1, 2024
Man United receive monumental Europa League boost as Athletic Bilbao head to Manchester without their three leading goalscorers
Manchester United receive a major boost ahead of Thursday's Europa League semi-final second leg against Athletic Bilbao at Old Trafford.
May 7, 08:39
Manchester United's Amad Diallo celebrates on December 15, 2024
Man United lineup vs. Athletic Bilbao: Predicted XI for Europa League semi-final second leg
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's Europa League semi-final second-leg clash with Athletic Bilbao.
May 6, 18:07
Manchester United's Diogo Dalot pictured on April 17, 2025
Man United injury, suspension news vs. Athletic Bilbao: Matthijs de Ligt, Diogo Dalot updates
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of the second leg of their Europa League semi-final with Athletic Bilbao.
May 5, 09:30
Manchester United's Matthijs de Ligt and Manuel Ugarte pictured on November 28, 2024
Man United suffer fresh injury concern before Athletic Bilbao as 25-year-old taken off against Brentford
Manchester United suffer an untimely injury blow ahead of their Europa League clash with Athletic Bilbao, as Matthijs de Ligt suffers an injury against Brentford.
May 4, 14:24
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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