Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Palogrande
Once Caldas1 - 0Union Espanola
Angel Palacios Mena (16')
Angel Palacios Mena (53'), Carlos Diaz Mena (90+3')
Angel Palacios Mena (53'), Carlos Diaz Mena (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aranguiz (35'), Ramirez (56')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Once Caldas and Union Espanola.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-3 Once Caldas
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union Espanola 1-1 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Once Caldas win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Union Espanola had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Once Caldas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Union Espanola win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Once Caldas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Once Caldas | Draw | Union Espanola |
45.59% ( -0.19) | 25.77% ( 0.08) | 28.65% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
