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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Palogrande

Once Caldas
vs.
Union Espanola

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Once Caldas and Union Espanola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Once Caldas

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Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-3 Once Caldas
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Union Espanola

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Last Game: Union Espanola 1-1 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Once Caldas win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Union Espanola has a probability of 26.24% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Once Caldas win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Union Espanola win is 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.11%).

Result
Once CaldasDrawUnion Espanola
48.29% (0.451 0.45) 25.47% (-0.112 -0.11) 26.24% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (0.20800000000001 0.21)51.65% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.181 0.18)73.44% (-0.185 -0.19)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.28400000000001 0.28)21.4% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.6% (0.436 0.44)54.4% (-0.438 -0.44)
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (-0.169 -0.17)34.44% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.179 -0.18)71.15% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Once Caldas 48.29%
    Union Espanola 26.24%
    Draw 25.47%
Once CaldasDrawUnion Espanola
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.045 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.24%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Union Espanola
0-2
Once Caldas

Espinoza (61'), Vidal (75')
Moreno (57'), Garcia Castillo (86')
Andres Rojas Vasquez (59'), Arley Zapata Ramirez (61'), Felipe Castano Zuluaga (61'), Pablo Patino Paz (75')
rhs 2.0
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