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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Burnley logo

QPR
0 - 5
Burnley


Edwards (50'), Colback (64'), Ashby (82'), Frey (89')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Cullen (9'), Flemming (20', 28'), Sarmiento (62', 90+2')
Mejbri (8'), Cullen (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Swansea
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Burnley

QPR have the required quality to make this a difficult match for Burnley, and we are expecting to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the visitors should be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBurnley
27.09% (-1.257 -1.26) 26.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 46.16% (1.264 1.26)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.97% (-0.641 -0.64)56.03% (0.641 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (-0.524 -0.52)77.12% (0.523 0.52)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-1.357 -1.36)36.11% (1.356 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-1.41 -1.41)72.89% (1.409 1.41)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.33 0.33)24.24% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (0.464 0.46)58.59% (-0.465 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 27.09%
    Burnley 46.16%
    Draw 26.74%
Queens Park RangersDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.09%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 12.4% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.378 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.216 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: QPR vs Burnley

Queens Park Rangers
25.0%
Draw
15.4%
Burnley
59.6%
52
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Burnley
0-0
QPR
Bennie (78')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Burnley
1-2
QPR
Benson (76')
Field (58'), Martin (87')
Dec 11, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 22
QPR
0-3
Burnley
Berg Gudmundsson (19'), Maatsen (45+2'), Tella (71')
May 2, 2016 4.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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