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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Sheffield United logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Sheff Utd

Brownhill (28', 44' pen.)
Pires (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cannon (37')
Hamer (27'), Robinson (45+1'), Brewster (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, April 18 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-0 Sheffield United

Huffing and puffing will be the name of the game for Sheffield United on Monday night, where the Blades may take slight encouragement from Burnley keeping just the one clean sheet in four games. However, Parker's dogged defence has conceded just six goals at home all season long, and we have faith in the Clarets to also capitalise on the visitors' recent frailties on the road to make their promotion dreams a reality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
49.54% (-0.316 -0.32) 25.28% (0.117 0.12) 25.18% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 51.15% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (-0.314 -0.31)51.68% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (-0.272 -0.27)73.45% (0.27099999999999 0.27)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)20.88% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (-0.407 -0.41)53.58% (0.406 0.41)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.1% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 49.53%
    Sheffield United 25.18%
    Draw 25.28%
BurnleyDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.53%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sheff Utd

Burnley
70.5%
Draw
19.3%
Sheffield United
10.2%
88
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Sheff Utd
0-2
Burnley

Hamer (36'), Gilchrist (52'), Souttar (59')
Brownhill (43'), Flemming (53')
Cullen (20')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Sheff Utd
1-4
Burnley
Hamer (52')
Osborn (76')
Bruun Larsen (38'), Assignon (40'), Foster (58'), Berg Gudmundsson (71')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burnley
5-0
Sheff Utd
Rodriguez (1'), Bruun Larsen (29'), Amdouni (73'), Koleosho (75'), Brownhill (80')
Kompany (35'), O'Shea (38'), Beyer (67')

Fleck (34'), McBurnie (37'), Thomas (43'), Osula (64'), Ahmedhodzic (72'), Hamer (72')
McBurnie (45+1')
Apr 10, 2023 8pm
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Sheff Utd
5-2
Burnley
Ndiaye (30'), McBurnie (48', 74'), Robinson (64'), Ahmedhodzic (69')
Benson (17', 45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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