Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Burnley

Langas (33'), Adams (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Derby
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Burnley
27.99% ( -0.14)	29.55% ( -0.51)	42.45% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 41.55% (

1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.03% (

1.44)

64.97% (

-1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.13% (

0.99)

83.87% (

-1)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.68% (

0.71)

40.31% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06% (

0.64)

76.93% (

-0.64)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

1.1)

30.38% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

1.3)

66.58% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

Derby County 27.99%

Burnley 42.45%

Draw 29.54%

Derby County	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.99%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.54%	0-1 @ 14.59% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.45%

How you voted: Derby vs Burnley

Derby County

24.3%

Draw

8.7%

Burnley

67.0%

Head to Head

Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Burnley

0-0

Derby

Brownhill (80')

Ward (48'), Widell Zetterstrom (88')

> Preview

Jan 25, 2016 7.45pm

Burnley

4-1

Derby

Keogh (29' og.), Gray (54' pen.), Vokes (58' pen.), Arfield (66')

Butterfield (30')
Shackell (57'), Johnson (68')

Sep 21, 2015 7.45pm

Mar 1, 2014 3pm

Aug 31, 2013 3pm

Form Guide

Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby

Coventry 1-2 Burnley

Burnley 1-0 Bristol City

Swansea 0-2 Burnley

Burnley 1-1 West Brom

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table