Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 3
Derby

Bundu (38'), Phillips (46' og.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Harness (11', 88'), Armegang (26')
Phillips (45+5'), Thompson (58'), Adams (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Plymouth
Wednesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Derby County
33.19% ( -0.07)	26.06% ( 0.03)	40.75% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.53% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15% (

-0.14)

50.85% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.26% (

-0.13)

72.73% (

0.13)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

-0.11)

28.98% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

-0.14)

64.87% (

0.14)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

-0.04)

24.63% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

-0.06)

59.14% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 33.19%

Derby County 40.75%

Draw 26.05%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.19%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Derby

Plymouth Argyle

50.0%

Draw

27.5%

Derby County

22.5%

Head to Head

Nov 9, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 15

Derby

1-1

Plymouth

Yates (8')
Jackson (57')

Randell (41')
Bundu (42'), Sorinola (65'), Mumba (68'), Grimshaw (85')

> Preview

Mar 7, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 29

Plymouth

2-1

Derby

Wright (59'), Hardie (70' pen.)

Mendez-Laing (17')

> Preview

Sep 3, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 7

Derby

2-3

Plymouth

Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (38')
McGoldrick (57')

Whittaker (56'), Cosgrove (77', 90')
Mumba (34')

Jan 26, 2010 3pm

Plymouth

1-0

Derby

Mackie (82')
Fallon (29'), Sawyer (45')

McEveley (14'), Pearson (38'), Hunt (45'), Savage (78'), Buxton (81')

Aug 22, 2009 3pm

Derby

2-1

Plymouth

Buxton (40'), Addison (90')
Addison (76')

Judge (17' pen.)
Fletcher (90')

Form Guide

Portsmouth 1-2 Plymouth

Plymouth 0-3 Sheff Weds

Hull City 2-0 Plymouth

Man City 3-1 Plymouth

Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table