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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.52% (![]() | 19.82% (![]() | 12.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% (![]() | 47.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% (![]() | 69.56% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% (![]() | 13.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.39% (![]() | 39.61% (![]() |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.6% (![]() | 47.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.21% (![]() | 82.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.75% Total : 67.51% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.82% | 0-1 @ 4.62% 1-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.81% Total : 12.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
P | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
> Championship Full Table |