Blackburn logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Coventry City
Derby logo
Derby logo
Hull logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
West Brom logo
Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cardiff
5 - 0
Plymouth

Robertson (16'), Colwill (24'), El Ghazi (52'), Robinson (75'), Willock (80')
Robinson (39'), Ng (42'), Robertson (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edwards (88')
Cissoko (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
47.61% (0.309 0.31)25.35% (-0.166 -0.17)27.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (0.587 0.59)50.63% (-0.583 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (0.515 0.52)72.54% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.379 0.38)21.28% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (0.583 0.58)54.21% (-0.578 -0.58)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.2 0.2)33.25% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.219 0.22)69.86% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 47.6%
    Plymouth Argyle 27.04%
    Draw 25.34%
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Plymouth

Cardiff City
56.0%
Draw
14.0%
Plymouth Argyle
30.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Plymouth
3-1
Cardiff
Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')