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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle | 
| 47.61% (  0.31) | 25.35% (  -0.17) | 27.04% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 52.54% (  0.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.37% (  0.59) | 50.63% (  -0.58) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.46% (  0.52) | 72.54% (  -0.51) | 
| Cardiff City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.72% (  0.38) | 21.28% (  -0.38) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% (  0.58) | 54.21% (  -0.58) | 
| Plymouth Argyle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.75% (  0.2) | 33.25% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% (  0.22) | 69.86% (  -0.22) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cardiff City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle | 
| 1-0 @ 10.94% (  -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.33% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 8.47% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.81% (  0.08) 3-0 @ 4.37% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 1.86% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 1.69% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% (  0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.05% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.08% (  -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.14% (  0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% (  0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% (  -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.64% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.29% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.44% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.89% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.58% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.04% |