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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City | 
| 42.32% (  0.12) | 25.3% (  0.06) | 32.37% (  -0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 55.76% (  -0.26) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.16% (  -0.31) | 47.84% (  0.31) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.97% (  -0.28) | 70.02% (  0.29) | 
| Hull City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.47% (  -0.07) | 22.52% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% (  -0.11) | 56.1% (  0.12) | 
| Cardiff City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.97% (  -0.26) | 28.02% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% (  -0.34) | 63.67% (  0.34) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City | 
| 1-0 @ 9.41% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 8.92% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 7.01% (  0.06) 3-1 @ 4.43% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% (  0.08) 2-2 @ 5.67% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.03% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 7.61% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.11% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.41% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.17% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.37% |