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EFL Cup
Cardiff City logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Southampton logo

Cardiff
3 - 5
Southampton

Colwill (21'), Edwards (48' og.), Robertson (57')
Colwill (36'), Fagan-Walcott (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fernandes (10'), Amo-Ameyaw (30'), Archer (55', 90+4'), Bree (90+1')
Obling (53'), Bree (69'), Wood (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Cardiff City 0-2 Southampton

 Cardiff have been vulnerable in defence so far this season, conceding eight in four matches, while the hosts have shown signs of promise in attack, and we expect the visitors to finally find their goalscoring form and take the victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 32.8% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
32.8% (0.23999999999999 0.24) 24% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 43.19% (-0.313 -0.31)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-0.173 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (-0.264 -0.26)41.76% (0.262 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (-0.268 -0.27)64.16% (0.26499999999999 0.26)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.012 0.01)24.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (0.020000000000003 0.02)59.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)19.57% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.398 -0.4)51.48% (0.394 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.8%
    Southampton 43.19%
    Draw 23.99%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.77% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 43.19%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Southampton

Cardiff City
20.5%
Draw
11.6%
Southampton
67.9%
112
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
2-1
Southampton
Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
2-0
Cardiff
Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

Colwill (72')
> Preview
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
> Match Report
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City22006156
2Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton22005146
3Arsenal22004046
4Liverpool22004046
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs21105144
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21102114
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21102114
8Chelsea21016423
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham21013213
10Fulham21012203
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd21012203
12Aston Villa210123-13
13Brentford210123-13
14Bournemouth20202202
15Leicester CityLeicester201123-11
16Southampton200202-20
17Crystal Palace200214-30
18Ipswich TownIpswich200216-50
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves200228-60
20Everton200207-70
> Premier League Full Table


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