EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
3 - 5
Southampton

Colwill (21'), Edwards (48' og.), Robertson (57')
Colwill (36'), Fagan-Walcott (89')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fernandes (10'), Amo-Ameyaw (30'), Archer (55', 90+4'), Bree (90+1')
Obling (53'), Bree (69'), Wood (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Southampton
32.8% ( 0.24)	24% ( 0.07)	43.19% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 60.47% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.24% (

-0.26)

41.76% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.84% (

-0.26)

64.16% (

0.26)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

0.02)

24.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.6% (

0.02)

59.4% (

-0.03)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

-0.24)

19.57% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

-0.39)

51.48% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 32.8%

Southampton 43.19%

Draw 23.99%

Cardiff City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.8%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.19%