

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest | 
| 53.54% (  0.02) | 22.23% (  -0.01) | 24.24% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 60.2% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.74% (  0.03) | 39.26% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.41% (  0.03) | 61.6% (  -0.03) | 
| Southampton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.28% (  0.02) | 14.72% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.08% (  0.03) | 42.92% (  -0.03) | 
| Nottingham Forest Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.59% (  0.01) | 29.41% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% (  0.01) | 65.41% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest | 
| 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.3% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.95% (  -0) 3-1 @ 6.21% (  0) 3-0 @ 5.08% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.8% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.98% (  0) 4-0 @ 2.43% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.82% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.14% (  0) 5-0 @ 0.93% (  0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.95% (  0) 0-0 @ 4.33% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% (  0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.21% (  -0) 0-1 @ 5.3% (  -0) 0-2 @ 3.24% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.43% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.32% (  -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.24% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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