Nott'm Forest

2 - 3

Chelsea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.