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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Lazio
0 - 1
Lecce


Guendouzi (32'), Gila (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coulibaly (43')
Pierotti (37'), Falcone (69')
Pierotti (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lazio
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Torino
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawLecce
68.27% (0.123 0.12)19.45% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)12.27% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.78% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (0.022000000000006 0.02)46.65% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.08% (0.023000000000003 0.02)68.92% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.62% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.26% (0.087000000000003 0.09)38.73% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-0.112 -0.11)47.6% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)82.94% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 68.26%
    Lecce 12.27%
    Draw 19.45%
LazioDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.6% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 68.26%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 19.45%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 12.27%

How you voted: Lazio vs Lecce

Lazio
82.6%
Draw
8.7%
Lecce
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
1-2
Lazio
Morente (50')
Dorgu (69'), Rebic (71'), Ramadani (90')
Guilbert (45+1')
Castellanos (45+3' pen.), Marusic (87')
Tchaouna (82')
Jan 14, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-0
Lecce
Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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