Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.