MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 13:54:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 1
Lecce

Retegui (69' pen.)
Zappacosta (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29' pen.)
Gallo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Como
Saturday, April 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Lecce

Though Atalanta sometimes fail to perform on home soil, Lecce are in disarray, with the Salentini's unpopular board forced to issue a vote of confidence in their head coach. Having turned a corner by beating Bologna and Milan, La Dea can win three games on the spin, all but wrapping up Champions League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
67.56% (0.532 0.53) 19.92% (-0.26 -0.26) 12.52% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 45.06% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (0.455 0.45)48.04% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.418 0.42)70.21% (-0.417 -0.42)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.298 0.3)13.24% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (0.599 0.6)40.02% (-0.598 -0.6)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.94% (-0.164 -0.16)48.06% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72% (-0.12 -0.12)83.27% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 67.54%
    Lecce 12.52%
    Draw 19.92%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 67.54%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 19.92%
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 12.52%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
91.4%
Draw
7.1%
Lecce
1.4%
70
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
0-4
Atalanta
Brescianini (35', 66'), Retegui (45', 57')
de Roon (60'), Ederson (80')
May 18, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 37
Lecce
0-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-0
Lecce
Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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