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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lazio logo

Atalanta
0 - 1
Lazio


Kolasinac (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Isaksen (54')
Rovella (40'), Lazzari (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Torino
Monday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
49.47% (-0.3 -0.3)24.58% (0.106 0.11)25.96% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (-0.29 -0.29)48.19% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.265 -0.27)70.35% (0.265 0.27)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (-0.236 -0.24)19.52% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.6% (-0.387 -0.39)51.4% (0.388 0.39)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (0.004999999999999 0)69.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.46%
    Lazio 25.96%
    Draw 24.58%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.14% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.96%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC
53.8%
Draw
18.5%
Lazio
27.7%
65
Head to Head
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Lazio
1-1
Atalanta
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Zaccagni (69'), Rovella (70')
Brescianini (88')
Hien (34'), Cuadrado (69'), Lookman (90'), Lookman (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
3-1
Lazio
Pasalic (16'), De Ketelaere (43' pen., 76')
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Immobile (84' pen.)
Alberto (45+1'), Anderson (45'), Rovella (47')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
De Ketelaere (5' og.), Castellanos (11'), Vecino (83')
Vecino (84')
Sarri (86')
Ederson (33'), Kolasinac (63')
Ruggeri (79')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
0-2
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Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
> Preview