We said: Venezia 0-2 Lazio
Even without a couple of key players, Lazio have too much firepower for lowly Venezia to handle - their squad depth has been evident in
the Europa League.
Indeed, the Rome club have scored the most Serie A goals via substitutes this season (14) - while Venezia have netted fewest (one) - so, if needed, they can turn the game in their favour late on.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
