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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Lazio logo

Cagliari
1 - 2
Lazio

Piccoli (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaccagni (41'), Castellanos (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Cagliari
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawLazio
21.54% (-0.143 -0.14)24% (0.33 0.33)54.45% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-1.214 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-1.517 -1.52)49.96% (1.516 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-1.367 -1.37)71.94% (1.367 1.37)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.997 -1)37.74% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-0.984 -0.98)74.52% (0.983 0.98)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)18.24% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (-1.087 -1.09)49.28% (1.088 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 21.54%
    Lazio 54.45%
    Draw 23.99%
CagliariDrawLazio
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.56% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.54%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.414 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.48 0.48)
0-2 @ 9.97% (0.207 0.21)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.45%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Lazio

Cagliari
9.3%
Draw
11.6%
Lazio
79.1%
129
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Dia (2'), Zaccagni (76' pen.)
Noslin (25'), Lazzari (61'), Rovella (85')
Luvumbo (41')
Adopo (9'), Augello (17'), Mina (29'), Zappa (49'), Luvumbo (64'), Luperto (74')
Adopo (78'), Mina (78')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Gaetano (51')
Makoumbou (52')
Aresti (90+5')
Deiola (26' og.), Immobile (49'), Anderson (65')
Immobile (45+1'), Romagnoli (67'), Vecino (90+2')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Pedro (8')

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
> Preview