The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Venezia vs. Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 37 | -41 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 37 | -34 | 29 |
| 19 | Genoa | 37 | -32 | 28 |
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Lazio
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Lazio vs. Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 22 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 37 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
We said: Cagliari 1-1 Lazio
Over the past two months, Cagliari have been made of sterner stuff, so will be no pushover for hit-and-miss Lazio when the teams convene on Saturday. Precedent suggests that the visitors should add another win to their long list of successes over the Isolani, but a combination of grit and organisation can see the home side take another valuable point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
| 28.58% | 25.45% | 45.97% |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
