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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Lecce logo

Cagliari
4 - 1
Lecce

Gaetano (60'), Luperto (65'), Zortea (80'), Obert (83')
Adopo (52'), Zortea (81'), Deiola (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pierotti (42')
Pierotti (45')
Rebic (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 1-3 Lecce
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawLecce
38.89% (0.802 0.8)27.69% (0.23 0.23)33.43% (-1.029 -1.03)
Both teams to score 48.5% (-0.86 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.73% (-1 -1)57.27% (1 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.801 -0.8)78.11% (0.803 0.8)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)28.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)64.45% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-1.187 -1.19)32.04% (1.189 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-1.373 -1.37)68.51% (1.375 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 38.89%
    Lecce 33.43%
    Draw 27.68%
CagliariDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.264 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.345 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.43%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Lecce
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
1-0
Cagliari
Krstovic (26')
Falcone (65')
Dorgu (45+1')

Zappa (24'), Lapadula (48'), Marin (70')
> Preview
May 5, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 35
Cagliari
1-1
Lecce
Mina (26')
Ranieri (44'), Scuffet (64'), Nandez (74'), Deiola (77'), Deiola (78'), Augello (78')
Gaetano (42'), Gaetano (44')
Krstovic (84')
Piccoli (14'), Sansone (54'), Ramadani (56'), Baschirotto (74')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Lecce
1-1
Cagliari
Gendrey (31')
Espeto (67')
Oristanio (68')
Dossena (35')
> Preview
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Cagliari
0-0
Lecce
> Preview
Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
Lapadula (82' pen.), Calderoni (91')
Petriccione (68'), Farias (95')
Lapadula (85')
Pedro (30' pen.), Nainggolan (67')
Lykogiannis (21'), Rog (45')
Cacciatore (81'), Olsen (85')