

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
| 46.99% ( | 26.81% ( | 26.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.21% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( | 77.73% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( | 24.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.5% ( | 58.5% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( | 37.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.95% ( | 74.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% ( 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
