Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 1Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Cagliari
Given Cagliari's defensive deficiencies - clearly apparent when losing at home to Milan earlier this season - and their lack of fortitude when on the road, even a much-changed Milan side should safely secure a place in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
58.43% ( 0) | 22.52% ( -0) | 19.04% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
