Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
3 - 1
Luton

Ward-Prowse (54'), Soucek (65'), Earthy (76')
Palmieri (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sambi Lokonga (6')
Barkley (10'), Burke (79'), Morris (83')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's Premier League survival chances are left in tatters courtesy of a 3-1 defeat to West Ham United at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Everton
Friday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Luton Town
64.05% ( -0.56)	18.68% ( 0.22)	17.26% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 61.75% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.82% (

-0.45)

32.18% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.23% (

-0.53)

53.77% (

0.53)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

-0.26)

9.57% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.98% (

-0.61)

32.02% (

0.6)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

0.08)

31.72% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

0.09)

68.14% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

West Ham United 64.06%

Luton Town 17.26%

Draw 18.68%

West Ham United	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.06%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.68%	1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 17.26%