Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.13% (![]() | 18.64% (![]() | 68.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% (![]() | 41.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% (![]() | 63.4% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.34% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.99% (![]() | 79.01% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% (![]() | 11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.72% (![]() | 35.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.13% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.64% | 0-2 @ 11.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.35% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 4% Total : 68.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 |
2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |