

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 86.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.61%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
| 86.84% ( | 8.51% ( | 4.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.36% ( | 18.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.88% ( | 36.11% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.19% ( | 2.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 87.18% ( | 12.81% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.65% ( | 80.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
| 3-0 @ 9.44% ( 4-0 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 4-1 @ 6.88% ( 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 5-0 @ 6.04% ( 5-1 @ 4.92% ( 1-0 @ 4.43% ( 6-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 6-1 @ 2.93% ( 4-2 @ 2.8% ( 5-2 @ 2% ( 7-0 @ 1.84% ( 7-1 @ 1.5% ( 6-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 5.61% Total : 86.84% | 1-1 @ 3.61% ( 2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.03% Total : 8.51% | 1-2 @ 1.47% ( 0-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 4.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
| R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
| R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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